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Chesterfield vs Swindon Prediction & Win Probability

Chesterfield has a 49% chance to win.
League Two
Sat, May 1, 2027 · 3:00 PM BST
League Two
Chesterfield
5-4-5Rating 1223
Form: LWDLD
vs
Model Probability
49%
Draw 26%
24%
League Two
Swindon
5-4-5Rating 1187
Form: WDWDL

Model Prediction Through Season

Season Impact

Swindon

Scenario Win LeagueAutomatic promotionPromotion playoffRelegation
Now <1%<1%12.1%4.4%
If Win 1.1%1.1%15.5%2.7%
If Draw <1%<1%10.7%4.4%
If Lose <1%<1%9.3%6.2%

Chesterfield

Scenario Win LeagueAutomatic promotionPromotion playoffRelegation
Now 2.6%2.6%22.0%1.3%
If Win 3.5%3.5%26.5%<1%
If Draw 1.7%1.7%23.0%1.6%
If Lose 1.6%1.6%19.3%2.3%

Season Form Coming Into This Game

ChesterfieldStatSwindon
14Games played14
1.7Avg goals scored1.1
1.5Avg goals conceded1.2
36% / 29% / 36%Win / Draw / Loss36% / 29% / 36%
43% Home win % / Away win % 14%

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
ChesterfieldStatSwindon
4All-time wins (12 meetings, 2 draws)6
2Last 5 meetings (1 draws)2
1.1Average goals1.7
Last meeting (2026-05-02): Swindon 1–2 Chesterfield