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Swindon vs Gillingham Prediction & Win Probability

Swindon has a 45% chance to win.
League Two
Sat, May 8, 2027 · 3:00 PM BST
League Two
Swindon
5-4-5Rating 1187
Form: WDWDL
vs
Model Probability
45%
Draw 27%
28%
League Two
Gillingham
5-5-4Rating 1182
Form: WLDLW

Model Prediction Through Season

Season Impact

Gillingham

Scenario Win LeagueAutomatic promotionPromotion playoffRelegation
Now 1.3%1.3%12.1%4.2%
If Win 1.2%1.2%15.6%2.5%
If Draw <1%<1%11.5%4.0%
If Lose <1%<1%9.2%5.4%

Swindon

Scenario Win LeagueAutomatic promotionPromotion playoffRelegation
Now <1%<1%10.8%5.0%
If Win 1.4%1.4%14.2%3.1%
If Draw <1%<1%10.3%4.4%
If Lose <1%<1%8.2%6.0%

Season Form Coming Into This Game

SwindonStatGillingham
14Games played14
1.1Avg goals scored1.4
1.2Avg goals conceded1.4
36% / 29% / 36%Win / Draw / Loss36% / 36% / 29%
57% Home win % / Away win % 43%

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
SwindonStatGillingham
5All-time wins (21 meetings, 9 draws)7
2Last 5 meetings (3 draws)0
1.3Average goals1.5
Last meeting (2026-03-17): Gillingham 0–2 Swindon