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League Two
Sat, Oct 10, 2026 · 12:30 PM BST

Swindon vs Crewe Prediction & Win Probability

Swindon has a 40% chance to win.

3-1-3 · Rating 1186
Form: LLWWL
VS
2-5-0 · Rating 1213
Form: DDDDD
Model Probability
40%
32%
Draw 28%

Model Prediction Through Season

Season Impact

Crewe

Scenario Win LeagueAutomatic promotionPromotion playoffRelegation
Now 5.6%5.6%23.2%2.8%
If Win 9.6%9.6%29.0%1.0%
If Draw 5.3%5.3%24.1%2.2%
If Lose 3.3%3.3%19.1%3.9%

Swindon

Scenario Win LeagueAutomatic promotionPromotion playoffRelegation
Now 2.4%2.4%12.9%5.9%
If Win 3.9%3.9%16.8%4.2%
If Draw 2.0%2.0%11.5%7.0%
If Lose 1.3%1.3%9.3%10.6%

Season Form Coming Into This Game

SwindonStatCrewe
7Games played7
1.1Avg goals scored1.0
1.6Avg goals conceded0.7
43% / 14% / 43%Win / Draw / Loss29% / 71% / 0%
100% Home win % / Away win % 33%

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
SwindonStatCrewe
11All-time wins (26 meetings, 5 draws)10
1Last 5 meetings (2 draws)2
1.8Average goals1.3
Last meeting (2026-02-21): Swindon 1–2 Crewe