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League Two
Sat, Dec 26, 2026 · 3:00 PM GMT

Exeter vs Newport Prediction & Win Probability

Exeter has a 50% chance to win.

1-3-3 · Rating 1228
Form: DLDDL
VS
1-3-3 · Rating 1188
Form: DDLLD
Model Probability
50%
24%
Draw 26%

Model Prediction Through Season

Season Impact

Newport

Scenario Win LeagueAutomatic promotionPromotion playoffRelegation
Now 1.3%1.3%8.0%12.2%
If Win 2.2%2.2%12.6%6.7%
If Draw 1.1%1.1%8.0%11.8%
If Lose <1%<1%6.8%14.6%

Exeter

Scenario Win LeagueAutomatic promotionPromotion playoffRelegation
Now 2.8%2.8%18.4%3.7%
If Win 5.2%5.2%21.0%3.1%
If Draw 3.2%3.2%16.5%5.3%
If Lose 1.8%1.8%13.9%7.7%

Season Form Coming Into This Game

ExeterStatNewport
7Games played7
0.6Avg goals scored1.4
0.7Avg goals conceded1.6
14% / 43% / 43%Win / Draw / Loss14% / 43% / 43%
25% Home win % / Away win % 0%

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
ExeterStatNewport
5All-time wins (18 meetings, 9 draws)4
2Last 5 meetings (3 draws)0
1.1Average goals0.9
Last meeting (2022-04-02): Newport 0–1 Exeter