← Home / England / League Two / Matches / Swindon vs Exeter

Swindon vs Exeter Prediction & Win Probability

Swindon has a 37% chance to win.
League Two
Tue, Dec 29, 2026 · 7:45 PM GMT
League Two
Swindon
5-4-5Rating 1191
Form: WDWDL
vs
Model Probability
37%
Draw 28%
35%
League Two
Exeter
5-4-5Rating 1243
Form: LWWDW

Model Prediction Through Season

Season Impact

Exeter

Scenario Win LeagueAutomatic promotionPromotion playoffRelegation
Now 4.3%4.3%32.6%<1%
If Win 6.5%6.5%39.8%<1%
If Draw 4.1%4.1%31.4%<1%
If Lose 2.9%2.9%26.1%1.6%

Swindon

Scenario Win LeagueAutomatic promotionPromotion playoffRelegation
Now 1.0%1.0%11.2%4.4%
If Win 1.2%1.2%17.0%2.9%
If Draw <1%<1%10.5%4.9%
If Lose <1%<1%7.4%7.1%

Season Form Coming Into This Game

SwindonStatExeter
14Games played14
1.1Avg goals scored0.8
1.2Avg goals conceded0.6
36% / 29% / 36%Win / Draw / Loss36% / 29% / 36%
57% Home win % / Away win % 14%

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
SwindonStatExeter
1All-time wins (11 meetings, 4 draws)6
1Last 5 meetings (1 draws)3
0.7Average goals1.5
Last meeting (2022-03-08): Exeter 3–1 Swindon