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Swindon vs Crawley Prediction & Win Probability

Swindon has a 49% chance to win.
League Two
Fri, Jan 1, 2027 · 3:00 PM GMT
League Two
Swindon
5-4-5Rating 1187
Form: WDWDL
vs
Model Probability
49%
Draw 26%
24%
League Two
Crawley
2-3-7Rating 1151
Form: WDLLD

Model Prediction Through Season

Season Impact

Crawley

Scenario Win LeagueAutomatic promotionPromotion playoffRelegation
Now <1%<1%<1%43.9%
If Win <1%<1%<1%34.2%
If Draw <1%<1%<1%44.4%
If Lose <1%<1%<1%49.8%

Swindon

Scenario Win LeagueAutomatic promotionPromotion playoffRelegation
Now <1%<1%10.7%4.6%
If Win <1%<1%13.5%2.3%
If Draw <1%<1%8.9%4.6%
If Lose <1%<1%6.9%7.9%

Season Form Coming Into This Game

SwindonStatCrawley
14Games played12
1.1Avg goals scored1.1
1.2Avg goals conceded1.8
36% / 29% / 36%Win / Draw / Loss17% / 25% / 58%
57% Home win % / Away win % 33%

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
SwindonStatCrawley
7All-time wins (21 meetings, 7 draws)7
3Last 5 meetings (1 draws)1
1.6Average goals1.1
Last meeting (2026-03-07): Crawley 2–2 Swindon