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Northampton vs Exeter Prediction & Win Probability

Northampton has a 37% chance to win.
League Two
Sat, Dec 19, 2026 · 12:30 PM GMT
League Two
Northampton
3-5-5Rating 1194
Form: LDWLW
vs
Model Probability
37%
Draw 28%
35%
League Two
Exeter
5-4-5Rating 1243
Form: LWWDW

Model Prediction Through Season

Season Impact

Exeter

Scenario Win LeagueAutomatic promotionPromotion playoffRelegation
Now 4.8%4.8%31.3%1.0%
If Win 7.0%7.0%38.5%<1%
If Draw 4.0%4.0%32.6%1.2%
If Lose 3.0%3.0%26.9%1.6%

Northampton

Scenario Win LeagueAutomatic promotionPromotion playoffRelegation
Now <1%<1%6.3%11.2%
If Win <1%<1%9.0%6.8%
If Draw <1%<1%6.3%10.8%
If Lose <1%<1%4.1%14.2%

Season Form Coming Into This Game

NorthamptonStatExeter
13Games played14
0.7Avg goals scored0.8
0.8Avg goals conceded0.6
23% / 38% / 38%Win / Draw / Loss36% / 29% / 36%
29% Home win % / Away win % 14%

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
NorthamptonStatExeter
12All-time wins (21 meetings, 5 draws)4
2Last 5 meetings (2 draws)1
1.6Average goals0.8
Last meeting (2026-02-14): Exeter 0–0 Northampton