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Derby vs Preston Prediction & Win Probability

Derby has a 48% chance to win.
Championship
Sat, Mar 20, 2027 · 3:00 PM GMT
Championship
Derby
2-4-9Rating 1591
Form: WLLDL
vs
Model Probability
48%
Draw 27%
26%
Championship
Preston
2-2-11Rating 1568
Form: WLLDL

Model Prediction Through Season

Season Impact

Preston

Scenario Win LeagueAutomatic promotionPromotion playoffRelegation
Now <1%<1%<1%74.7%
If Win <1%<1%<1%68.0%
If Draw <1%<1%<1%76.1%
If Lose <1%<1%<1%80.2%

Derby

Scenario Win LeagueAutomatic promotionPromotion playoffRelegation
Now <1%<1%<1%56.2%
If Win <1%<1%<1%48.8%
If Draw <1%<1%<1%58.6%
If Lose <1%<1%<1%62.1%

Season Form Coming Into This Game

DerbyStatPreston
15Games played15
0.9Avg goals scored0.9
2.0Avg goals conceded2.0
13% / 27% / 60%Win / Draw / Loss13% / 13% / 73%
12% Home win % / Away win % 0%

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
DerbyStatPreston
13All-time wins (21 meetings, 5 draws)3
3Last 5 meetings (1 draws)1
1.2Average goals0.6
Last meeting (2026-01-17): Preston 0–1 Derby