← Home / England / Championship / Matches / Birmingham vs Cardiff

Birmingham vs Cardiff Prediction & Win Probability

Birmingham has a 55% chance to win.
Championship
Tue, Dec 29, 2026 · 8:00 PM GMT
Championship
Birmingham
8-5-2Rating 1696
Form: WWWLW
vs
Model Probability
55%
Draw 25%
21%
Championship
Cardiff
4-6-5Rating 1623
Form: WDLWD

Model Prediction Through Season

Season Impact

Cardiff

Scenario Win LeagueAutomatic promotionPromotion playoffRelegation
Now <1%<1%8.5%11.0%
If Win <1%<1%14.2%6.6%
If Draw <1%<1%8.1%8.9%
If Lose <1%<1%5.5%13.8%

Birmingham

Scenario Win LeagueAutomatic promotionPromotion playoffRelegation
Now 9.2%19.0%56.5%<1%
If Win 11.9%23.3%59.9%<1%
If Draw 7.4%16.7%58.7%<1%
If Lose 5.0%12.9%55.7%<1%

Season Form Coming Into This Game

BirminghamStatCardiff
15Games played15
1.9Avg goals scored1.8
0.9Avg goals conceded1.8
53% / 33% / 13%Win / Draw / Loss27% / 40% / 33%
50% Home win % / Away win % 0%

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
BirminghamStatCardiff
3All-time wins (23 meetings, 8 draws)12
1Last 5 meetings (0 draws)4
0.7Average goals1.4
Last meeting (2026-10-24): Cardiff 1–0 Birmingham