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Cardiff vs Millwall Prediction & Win Probability

Cardiff has a 42% chance to win.
Championship
Sat, Dec 26, 2026 · 3:00 PM GMT
Championship
Cardiff
4-6-5Rating 1623
Form: WDLWD
vs
Model Probability
42%
Draw 28%
31%
Championship
Millwall
5-3-7Rating 1642
Form: LLWLD

Model Prediction Through Season

Season Impact

Millwall

Scenario Win LeagueAutomatic promotionPromotion playoffRelegation
Now <1%<1%12.0%7.6%
If Win <1%1.0%19.3%3.4%
If Draw <1%<1%12.8%5.0%
If Lose <1%<1%8.4%8.9%

Cardiff

Scenario Win LeagueAutomatic promotionPromotion playoffRelegation
Now <1%<1%7.7%10.5%
If Win <1%<1%11.0%6.6%
If Draw <1%<1%6.3%13.0%
If Lose <1%<1%4.4%16.1%

Season Form Coming Into This Game

CardiffStatMillwall
15Games played15
1.8Avg goals scored1.5
1.8Avg goals conceded1.8
27% / 40% / 33%Win / Draw / Loss33% / 20% / 47%
50% Home win % / Away win % 25%

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
CardiffStatMillwall
6All-time wins (22 meetings, 11 draws)5
2Last 5 meetings (1 draws)2
1.0Average goals1.0
Last meeting (2025-01-21): Millwall 2–2 Cardiff