Historical record, recent meetings, scoring profile and performance vs the model's pre-match favorite.
| Date | Match | Result | Winner | Model Projection |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-12-29 | Scheduled | |||
| 2026-10-24 | Scheduled | |||
| 2024-04-10 | 0–1 | Cardiff +1 | Birmingham 40% | |
| 2023-12-13 | 0–1 | Birmingham +1 | Cardiff 54% | |
| 2023-02-14 | 0–2 | Cardiff +2 | Birmingham 49% | |
| 2022-08-13 | 1–0 | Cardiff +1 | Cardiff 50% | |
| 2022-04-30 | 1–1 | Draw | Cardiff 51% | |
| 2021-12-11 | 2–2 | Draw | Birmingham 42% | |
| 2021-05-01 | 0–4 | Cardiff +4 | Cardiff 42% | |
| 2020-12-16 | 3–2 | Cardiff +1 | Cardiff 57% | |
| 2020-01-18 | 1–1 | Draw | Birmingham 37% | |
| 2019-11-02 | 4–2 | Cardiff +2 | Cardiff 49% | |
| 2018-03-10 | 3–2 | Cardiff +1 | Cardiff 68% | |
| 2017-10-13 | 1–0 | Birmingham +1 | Cardiff 43% | |
| 2017-03-11 | 1–1 | Draw | Cardiff 53% | |
| 2016-08-06 | 0–0 | Draw | Birmingham 44% | |
| 2016-05-07 | 1–1 | Draw | Cardiff 46% | |
| 2015-12-18 | 1–0 | Birmingham +1 | Birmingham 41% | |
| 2015-03-21 | 2–0 | Cardiff +2 | Cardiff 49% | |
| 2014-11-08 | 0–0 | Draw | Cardiff 40% | |
| 2013-01-01 | 0–1 | Cardiff +1 | Birmingham 36% | |
| 2012-10-02 | 2–1 | Cardiff +1 | Cardiff 42% | |
| 2012-03-25 | 1–1 | Draw | Birmingham 52% | |
| 2011-12-04 | 1–0 | Cardiff +1 | Cardiff 46% |