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Championship
Fri, Jan 1, 2027 · 3:00 PM GMT

Southampton vs Cardiff Prediction & Win Probability

Southampton has a 63% chance to win.

4-2-2 · Rating 1738
Form: LWWDD
VS
1-4-3 · Rating 1604
Form: WLDLL
Model Probability
63%
16%
Draw 21%

Model Prediction Through Season

Season Impact

Cardiff

Scenario Win LeagueAutomatic promotionPromotion playoffRelegation
Now <1%<1%6.5%32.2%
If Win <1%<1%9.8%24.0%
If Draw <1%<1%6.0%30.2%
If Lose <1%<1%4.4%35.9%

Southampton

Scenario Win LeagueAutomatic promotionPromotion playoffRelegation
Now 11.5%28.6%53.5%<1%
If Win 12.7%31.3%53.3%<1%
If Draw 8.9%23.4%55.2%<1%
If Lose 7.5%20.1%54.1%<1%

Season Form Coming Into This Game

SouthamptonStatCardiff
8Games played8
2.4Avg goals scored1.2
1.2Avg goals conceded1.5
50% / 25% / 25%Win / Draw / Loss12% / 50% / 38%
100% Home win % / Away win % 0%

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
SouthamptonStatCardiff
2All-time wins (8 meetings, 1 draws)5
1Last 5 meetings (0 draws)4
1.1Average goals1.1
Last meeting (2024-04-20): Cardiff 2–1 Southampton