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Southampton vs Cardiff Prediction & Win Probability

Southampton has a 62% chance to win.
Championship
Fri, Jan 1, 2027 · 3:00 PM GMT
Championship
Southampton
8-4-3Rating 1750
Form: LDWWD
vs
Model Probability
62%
Draw 22%
16%
Championship
Cardiff
4-6-5Rating 1623
Form: WDLWD

Model Prediction Through Season

Season Impact

Cardiff

Scenario Win LeagueAutomatic promotionPromotion playoffRelegation
Now <1%<1%8.3%9.7%
If Win <1%<1%12.7%5.8%
If Draw <1%<1%7.9%9.0%
If Lose <1%<1%5.7%13.3%

Southampton

Scenario Win LeagueAutomatic promotionPromotion playoffRelegation
Now 23.6%41.8%48.4%<1%
If Win 28.0%46.6%45.6%<1%
If Draw 19.2%36.1%52.5%<1%
If Lose 16.5%30.8%54.1%<1%

Season Form Coming Into This Game

SouthamptonStatCardiff
15Games played15
1.9Avg goals scored1.8
1.0Avg goals conceded1.8
53% / 27% / 20%Win / Draw / Loss27% / 40% / 33%
86% Home win % / Away win % 0%

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
SouthamptonStatCardiff
2All-time wins (8 meetings, 1 draws)5
1Last 5 meetings (0 draws)4
1.1Average goals1.1
Last meeting (2024-04-20): Cardiff 2–1 Southampton