| Date | Matchup | Result | Winner | Model Projection | Stage |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 4, 2026 | 26–32 | Panthers +6 | Lions +4.5 | Regular Season | |
| Oct 4, 2026 | 14–24 | 49ers +10 | 49ers +2.7 | Regular Season | |
| Oct 4, 2026 | 30–27 | Chiefs +3 | Chiefs +4.2 | Regular Season | |
| Oct 4, 2026 | 23–30 | Seahawks +7 | Seahawks +11.7 | Regular Season | |
| Oct 4, 2026 | 10–15 | Vikings +5 | Vikings +10.9 | Regular Season | |
| Oct 4, 2026 | 24–36 | Giants +12 | Giants +4.4 | Regular Season | |
| Oct 4, 2026 | 18–24 | Ravens +6 | Ravens +13.9 | Regular Season | |
| Oct 4, 2026 | 29–26 | Patriots +3 | Bills +7.4 | Regular Season | |
| Oct 4, 2026 | 12–23 | Bears +11 | Bears +10.5 | Regular Season | |
| Oct 4, 2026 | 22–17 | Jaguars +5 | Bengals +0.4 | Regular Season | |
| Oct 4, 2026 | 34–30 | Cowboys +4 | Texans +7.1 | Regular Season | |
| Oct 4, 2026 | 17–14 | Packers +3 | Buccaneers +2.0 | Regular Season | |
| Oct 4, 2026 | 24–20 | Rams +4 | Eagles +2.7 | Regular Season | |
| Oct 4, 2026 | 13–30 | Colts +17 | Commanders +2.0 | Regular Season |