Marlins @ Cubs
Marlins
Model Probability
Cubs
Chicago Cubs +0.8
| Date | Matchup | Result | Winner | Model Projection | Stage |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 20, 2026 | 3–7 | Padres +4 | Padres +0.9 | Regular Season | |
| Sep 19, 2026 | 6–7 | Padres +1 | Padres +0.8 | Regular Season | |
| Sep 18, 2026 | 2–8 | Padres +6 | Padres +0.8 | Regular Season | |
| Sep 16, 2026 | 4–3 | Marlins +1 | Diamondbacks +0.5 | Regular Season | |
| Sep 15, 2026 | 4–2 | Marlins +2 | Diamondbacks +0.6 | Regular Season |
| Matchup | Record | Win % | Vs Expected | Games |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Marlins Braves | 220-338-3 | 39.4% | -18.1 | 544 |
| Marlins Mets | 254-298 | 46.0% | -5.4 | 532 |
| Marlins Phillies | 251-305 | 45.1% | -8.6 | 528 |
| Marlins Nationals | 281-268 | 51.2% | +15.4 | 528 |
| Marlins Cubs | 121-128-3 | 48.6% | +1.3 | 244 |