Final Score: Yankees 4 - Twins 5
Wednesday, September 16, 2026 at 1:40 PM ET

Yankees @ Twins

MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Yankees
88-63 Rating 1560
Form: WLWWW
Model Probability
58%
42%
Projected margin: New York Yankees +0.8
Twins
70-81 Rating 1462
Form: LWLLL

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Yankees Twins
All-time wins 340 204
Last 5 meetings 3 2
Average runs 5.2 4.0
Last meeting 8 1

Key Season Stats

Stat Yankees Twins
Games played 151 151
Avg runs scored 4.6 4.5
Avg runs conceded 3.7 5.0
Win percentage 58% 46%
Away win % / Home win % 60% 51%