Final Score: Nationals 5 - Phillies 2
Tuesday, May 22, 2012 at 7:05 PM ET

Nationals @ Phillies

MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Nationals
25-17 Rating 1488
Form: LLLWW
Model Probability
39%
61%
Projected margin: Philadelphia Phillies +0.9
Phillies
21-22 Rating 1551
Form: WWLLL

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Nationals Phillies
All-time wins 346 386
Last 5 meetings 4 1
Average runs 4.2 4.4
Last meeting 2 1

Key Season Stats

Stat Nationals Phillies
Games played 42 43
Avg runs scored 3.7 4.0
Avg runs conceded 3.3 3.9
Win percentage 60% 49%
Away win % / Home win % 53% 45%