Final Score: Padres 2 - Phillies 3
Sunday, May 13, 2012 at 1:35 PM ET

Padres @ Phillies

MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Padres
12-22 Rating 1459
Form: WWLLW
Model Probability
36%
64%
Projected margin: Philadelphia Phillies +1.2
Phillies
15-19 Rating 1549
Form: LLLWL

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Padres Phillies
All-time wins 199 245
Last 5 meetings 3 2
Average runs 4.1 4.4
Last meeting 2 1

Key Season Stats

Stat Padres Phillies
Games played 34 34
Avg runs scored 3.1 3.8
Avg runs conceded 4.0 4.0
Win percentage 35% 44%
Away win % / Home win % 27% 40%