Final Score: Phillies 9 - Nationals 3
Sunday, May 6, 2012 at 8:05 PM ET

Phillies @ Nationals

MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Phillies
13-15 Rating 1555
Form: WLWLL
Model Probability
54%
46%
Projected margin: Philadelphia Phillies +0.4
Nationals
18-9 Rating 1490
Form: LWWWW

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Phillies Nationals
All-time wins 385 345
Last 5 meetings 0 5
Average runs 4.4 4.2
Last meeting 1 7

Key Season Stats

Stat Phillies Nationals
Games played 28 27
Avg runs scored 3.6 3.4
Avg runs conceded 3.8 2.7
Win percentage 46% 67%
Away win % / Home win % 44% 80%