Final Score: Phillies 3 - Nationals 4
Friday, May 4, 2012 at 7:05 PM ET

Phillies @ Nationals

MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Phillies
13-13 Rating 1560
Form: LWWLW
Model Probability
55%
45%
Projected margin: Philadelphia Phillies +0.5
Nationals
16-9 Rating 1486
Form: LLLWW

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Phillies Nationals
All-time wins 385 343
Last 5 meetings 0 5
Average runs 4.4 4.2
Last meeting 1 6

Key Season Stats

Stat Phillies Nationals
Games played 26 25
Avg runs scored 3.7 3.3
Avg runs conceded 3.7 2.8
Win percentage 50% 64%
Away win % / Home win % 50% 77%