Final Score: Cubs 4 - Phillies 6
Monday, April 30, 2012 at 7:05 PM ET

Cubs @ Phillies

MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Cubs
8-14 Rating 1461
Form: WLWLW
Model Probability
35%
65%
Projected margin: Philadelphia Phillies +1.3
Phillies
10-12 Rating 1556
Form: WWLWL

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Cubs Phillies
All-time wins 272 303
Last 5 meetings 2 3
Average runs 4.5 4.7
Last meeting 5 1

Key Season Stats

Stat Cubs Phillies
Games played 22 22
Avg runs scored 3.5 3.2
Avg runs conceded 4.4 3.4
Win percentage 36% 45%
Away win % / Home win % 33% 44%