Final Score: Phillies 4 - Padres 1
Friday, April 20, 2012 at 10:05 PM ET

Phillies @ Padres

MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Phillies
6-7 Rating 1561
Form: WWLLW
Model Probability
58%
42%
Projected margin: Philadelphia Phillies +0.8
Padres
3-11 Rating 1460
Form: LWLLL

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Phillies Padres
All-time wins 243 196
Last 5 meetings 4 1
Average runs 4.5 4.2
Last meeting 2 0

Key Season Stats

Stat Phillies Padres
Games played 13 14
Avg runs scored 2.8 3.4
Avg runs conceded 2.6 4.6
Win percentage 46% 21%
Away win % / Home win % 43% 25%