Final Score: Phillies 2 - Padres 0
Thursday, April 19, 2012 at 10:05 PM ET

Phillies @ Padres

MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Phillies
5-7 Rating 1560
Form: LWWLL
Model Probability
58%
42%
Projected margin: Philadelphia Phillies +0.8
Padres
3-10 Rating 1462
Form: LLWLL

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Phillies Padres
All-time wins 242 196
Last 5 meetings 4 1
Average runs 4.5 4.2
Last meeting 4 5

Key Season Stats

Stat Phillies Padres
Games played 12 13
Avg runs scored 2.9 3.7
Avg runs conceded 2.8 4.8
Win percentage 42% 23%
Away win % / Home win % 33% 29%