Final Score: Reds 1 - Cubs 6
Saturday, April 21, 2012 at 1:05 PM ET

Reds @ Cubs

MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Reds
6-8 Rating 1486
Form: WLLWW
Model Probability
50%
50%
Projected margin: Cincinnati Reds +0.1
Cubs
3-11 Rating 1455
Form: LLLLL

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Reds Cubs
All-time wins 296 265
Last 5 meetings 4 1
Average runs 4.7 4.6
Last meeting 9 4

Key Season Stats

Stat Reds Cubs
Games played 14 14
Avg runs scored 3.4 3.6
Avg runs conceded 4.3 5.4
Win percentage 43% 21%
Away win % / Home win % 38% 25%