Final Score: Phillies 1 - Padres 6
Sunday, April 22, 2012 at 4:05 PM ET

Phillies @ Padres

MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Phillies
7-8 Rating 1561
Form: LLWWL
Model Probability
58%
42%
Projected margin: Philadelphia Phillies +0.8
Padres
4-12 Rating 1461
Form: LLLLW

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Phillies Padres
All-time wins 244 197
Last 5 meetings 3 2
Average runs 4.5 4.2
Last meeting 1 5

Key Season Stats

Stat Phillies Padres
Games played 15 16
Avg runs scored 2.8 3.4
Avg runs conceded 2.7 4.4
Win percentage 47% 25%
Away win % / Home win % 44% 30%