Final Score: Padres 2 - Phillies 1
Saturday, May 12, 2012 at 7:05 PM ET

Padres @ Phillies

MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Padres
11-22 Rating 1457
Form: LWWLL
Model Probability
35%
65%
Projected margin: Philadelphia Phillies +1.3
Phillies
15-18 Rating 1551
Form: WLLLW

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Padres Phillies
All-time wins 198 245
Last 5 meetings 2 3
Average runs 4.2 4.5
Last meeting 3 7

Key Season Stats

Stat Padres Phillies
Games played 33 33
Avg runs scored 3.2 3.9
Avg runs conceded 4.1 4.1
Win percentage 33% 45%
Away win % / Home win % 20% 43%