Final Score: Marlins 6 - Padres 3
Sunday, May 6, 2012 at 4:05 PM ET

Marlins @ Padres

MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Marlins
13-14 Rating 1473
Form: WWWWW
Model Probability
48%
52%
Projected margin: San Diego Padres +0.1
Padres
9-19 Rating 1459
Form: LWWLL

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Marlins Padres
All-time wins 70 77
Last 5 meetings 2 3
Average runs 4.3 4.5
Last meeting 4 1

Key Season Stats

Stat Marlins Padres
Games played 27 28
Avg runs scored 3.5 3.2
Avg runs conceded 3.7 4.0
Win percentage 48% 32%
Away win % / Home win % 44% 37%