Final Score: Phillies 9 - Cubs 2
Wednesday, May 16, 2012 at 8:05 PM ET

Phillies @ Cubs

MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Phillies
18-19 Rating 1553
Form: WLWWW
Model Probability
57%
43%
Projected margin: Philadelphia Phillies +0.7
Cubs
15-21 Rating 1465
Form: LLWWL

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Phillies Cubs
All-time wins 304 272
Last 5 meetings 3 2
Average runs 4.7 4.5
Last meeting 6 4

Key Season Stats

Stat Phillies Cubs
Games played 37 36
Avg runs scored 3.8 3.7
Avg runs conceded 3.8 4.2
Win percentage 49% 42%
Away win % / Home win % 47% 47%