Final Score: Astros 3 - Phillies 4
Tuesday, May 15, 2012 at 1:05 PM ET

Astros @ Phillies

MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Astros
15-20 Rating 1427
Form: LWLLL
Model Probability
32%
68%
Projected margin: Philadelphia Phillies +1.5
Phillies
17-19 Rating 1551
Form: LWLWW

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Astros Phillies
All-time wins 233 207
Last 5 meetings 2 3
Average runs 4.3 4.1
Last meeting 1 5

Key Season Stats

Stat Astros Phillies
Games played 35 36
Avg runs scored 4.1 3.8
Avg runs conceded 4.1 3.9
Win percentage 43% 47%
Away win % / Home win % 29% 47%