Final Score: Orioles 2 - Nationals 1
Friday, May 18, 2012 at 7:05 PM ET

Orioles @ Nationals

MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Orioles
25-14 Rating 1497
Form: LLWWW
Model Probability
47%
53%
Projected margin: Washington Nationals +0.1
Nationals
23-15 Rating 1487
Form: LWLWL

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Orioles Nationals
All-time wins 25 26
Last 5 meetings 3 2
Average runs 4.1 4.2
Last meeting 7 4

Key Season Stats

Stat Orioles Nationals
Games played 39 38
Avg runs scored 4.7 3.7
Avg runs conceded 4.2 3.3
Win percentage 64% 61%
Away win % / Home win % 72% 70%