Final Score: Nationals 2 - Reds 1
Saturday, May 12, 2012 at 7:10 PM ET

Nationals @ Reds

MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Nationals
20-12 Rating 1489
Form: LLLWW
Model Probability
46%
54%
Projected margin: Cincinnati Reds +0.3
Reds
16-15 Rating 1490
Form: WWLWL

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Nationals Reds
All-time wins 202 236
Last 5 meetings 4 1
Average runs 4.2 4.6
Last meeting 7 3

Key Season Stats

Stat Nationals Reds
Games played 32 31
Avg runs scored 3.5 3.8
Avg runs conceded 3.0 3.8
Win percentage 62% 52%
Away win % / Home win % 50% 53%