Final Score: Cubs 3 - Reds 4
Thursday, May 3, 2012 at 12:35 PM ET

Cubs @ Reds

MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Cubs
9-15 Rating 1462
Form: WLWLW
Model Probability
43%
57%
Projected margin: Cincinnati Reds +0.5
Reds
11-12 Rating 1486
Form: LLWWL

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Cubs Reds
All-time wins 267 297
Last 5 meetings 2 3
Average runs 4.6 4.6
Last meeting 3 1

Key Season Stats

Stat Cubs Reds
Games played 24 23
Avg runs scored 3.5 3.8
Avg runs conceded 4.3 4.0
Win percentage 38% 48%
Away win % / Home win % 36% 54%