Final Score: Reds 6 - Pirates 1
Friday, May 4, 2012 at 7:05 PM ET

Reds @ Pirates

MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Reds
12-12 Rating 1488
Form: LWWLW
Model Probability
53%
47%
Projected margin: Cincinnati Reds +0.3
Pirates
11-14 Rating 1433
Form: LWLLW

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Reds Pirates
All-time wins 313 270
Last 5 meetings 2 3
Average runs 4.6 4.4
Last meeting 5 4

Key Season Stats

Stat Reds Pirates
Games played 24 25
Avg runs scored 3.8 3.0
Avg runs conceded 4.0 3.6
Win percentage 50% 44%
Away win % / Home win % 40% 56%