Final Score: Nationals 4 - Phillies 3
Tuesday, September 20, 2011 at 1:05 PM ET

Nationals @ Phillies

MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Nationals
72-79 Rating 1454
Form: WWLLW
Model Probability
31%
69%
Projected margin: Philadelphia Phillies +1.6
Phillies
98-54 Rating 1588
Form: WLWLL

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Nationals Phillies
All-time wins 339 385
Last 5 meetings 3 2
Average runs 4.2 4.4
Last meeting 5 4

Key Season Stats

Stat Nationals Phillies
Games played 151 152
Avg runs scored 3.9 4.4
Avg runs conceded 4.1 3.2
Win percentage 48% 64%
Away win % / Home win % 41% 68%