Final Score: Cardinals 4 - Phillies 3
Monday, September 19, 2011 at 7:05 PM ET

Cardinals @ Phillies

MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Cardinals
83-69 Rating 1519
Form: WWWLW
Model Probability
38%
62%
Projected margin: Philadelphia Phillies +1.0
Phillies
98-53 Rating 1591
Form: WWLWL

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Cardinals Phillies
All-time wins 299 279
Last 5 meetings 3 2
Average runs 4.4 4.3
Last meeting 5 0

Key Season Stats

Stat Cardinals Phillies
Games played 152 151
Avg runs scored 4.6 4.5
Avg runs conceded 4.3 3.2
Win percentage 55% 65%
Away win % / Home win % 55% 68%