Final Score: Phillies 2 - Astros 5
Tuesday, September 13, 2011 at 8:05 PM ET

Phillies @ Astros

MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Phillies
94-50 Rating 1593
Form: WWWLL
Model Probability
67%
33%
Projected margin: Philadelphia Phillies +1.5
Astros
50-97 Rating 1418
Form: LLWLW

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Phillies Astros
All-time wins 205 232
Last 5 meetings 3 2
Average runs 4.1 4.3
Last meeting 1 5

Key Season Stats

Stat Phillies Astros
Games played 144 147
Avg runs scored 4.5 3.8
Avg runs conceded 3.3 4.9
Win percentage 65% 34%
Away win % / Home win % 62% 38%