Final Score: Astros 4 - Pirates 1
Tuesday, September 6, 2011 at 7:05 PM ET

Astros @ Pirates

MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Astros
47-94 Rating 1416
Form: WLLLL
Model Probability
45%
55%
Projected margin: Pittsburgh Pirates +0.3
Pirates
65-76 Rating 1425
Form: LWWLW

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Astros Pirates
All-time wins 291 264
Last 5 meetings 3 2
Average runs 4.4 4.0
Last meeting 1 3

Key Season Stats

Stat Astros Pirates
Games played 141 141
Avg runs scored 3.8 3.8
Avg runs conceded 4.9 4.2
Win percentage 33% 46%
Away win % / Home win % 30% 46%