Final Score: Pirates 3 - Cubs 6
Sunday, September 4, 2011 at 2:20 PM ET

Pirates @ Cubs

MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Pirates
64-75 Rating 1425
Form: LLLWW
Model Probability
42%
58%
Projected margin: Chicago Cubs +0.6
Cubs
59-80 Rating 1460
Form: WWLLL

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Pirates Cubs
All-time wins 377 324
Last 5 meetings 2 3
Average runs 4.7 4.3
Last meeting 7 5

Key Season Stats

Stat Pirates Cubs
Games played 139 139
Avg runs scored 3.8 4.0
Avg runs conceded 4.2 4.8
Win percentage 46% 42%
Away win % / Home win % 47% 45%