Final Score: Astros 1 - Pirates 3
Monday, September 5, 2011 at 1:35 PM ET

Astros @ Pirates

MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Astros
47-93 Rating 1418
Form: WWLLL
Model Probability
45%
55%
Projected margin: Pittsburgh Pirates +0.3
Pirates
64-76 Rating 1423
Form: LLWWL

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Astros Pirates
All-time wins 291 263
Last 5 meetings 4 1
Average runs 4.4 4.0
Last meeting 2 0

Key Season Stats

Stat Astros Pirates
Games played 140 140
Avg runs scored 3.8 3.8
Avg runs conceded 5.0 4.2
Win percentage 34% 46%
Away win % / Home win % 30% 45%