Final Score: Astros 9 - Nationals 3
Saturday, September 10, 2011 at 7:05 PM ET

Astros @ Nationals

MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Astros
48-96 Rating 1415
Form: LLWLL
Model Probability
42%
58%
Projected margin: Washington Nationals +0.6
Nationals
66-76 Rating 1448
Form: LWLLW

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Astros Nationals
All-time wins 241 193
Last 5 meetings 2 3
Average runs 4.3 3.9
Last meeting 3 4

Key Season Stats

Stat Astros Nationals
Games played 144 142
Avg runs scored 3.8 3.9
Avg runs conceded 4.9 4.2
Win percentage 33% 46%
Away win % / Home win % 30% 56%