Final Score: Astros 2 - Nationals 8
Sunday, September 11, 2011 at 1:35 PM ET

Astros @ Nationals

MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Astros
49-96 Rating 1417
Form: LWLLW
Model Probability
43%
57%
Projected margin: Washington Nationals +0.5
Nationals
66-77 Rating 1445
Form: WLLWL

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Astros Nationals
All-time wins 242 193
Last 5 meetings 3 2
Average runs 4.3 3.9
Last meeting 9 3

Key Season Stats

Stat Astros Nationals
Games played 145 143
Avg runs scored 3.8 3.9
Avg runs conceded 4.9 4.2
Win percentage 34% 46%
Away win % / Home win % 31% 55%