Final Score: Astros 3 - Nationals 4
Friday, September 9, 2011 at 7:05 PM ET

Astros @ Nationals

MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Astros
48-95 Rating 1417
Form: LLLWL
Model Probability
43%
57%
Projected margin: Washington Nationals +0.5
Nationals
65-76 Rating 1446
Form: WLWLL

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Astros Nationals
All-time wins 241 192
Last 5 meetings 2 3
Average runs 4.3 3.9
Last meeting 3 2

Key Season Stats

Stat Astros Nationals
Games played 143 141
Avg runs scored 3.8 3.9
Avg runs conceded 4.9 4.2
Win percentage 34% 46%
Away win % / Home win % 31% 55%