Final Score: Mets 6 - Nationals 3
Sunday, September 4, 2011 at 1:35 PM ET

Mets @ Nationals

MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Mets
67-70 Rating 1485
Form: LWWWL
Model Probability
50%
50%
Projected margin: New York Mets +0.1
Nationals
64-73 Rating 1450
Form: WLLLW

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Mets Nationals
All-time wins 369 350
Last 5 meetings 2 3
Average runs 4.1 3.9
Last meeting 7 8

Key Season Stats

Stat Mets Nationals
Games played 137 137
Avg runs scored 4.5 3.8
Avg runs conceded 4.5 4.1
Win percentage 49% 47%
Away win % / Home win % 52% 57%