Final Score: Cardinals 4 - Phillies 2
Friday, September 16, 2011 at 7:05 PM ET

Cardinals @ Phillies

MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Cardinals
81-68 Rating 1515
Form: WWLWW
Model Probability
37%
63%
Projected margin: Philadelphia Phillies +1.0
Phillies
97-51 Rating 1594
Form: LLWWW

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Cardinals Phillies
All-time wins 297 278
Last 5 meetings 3 2
Average runs 4.4 4.3
Last meeting 12 2

Key Season Stats

Stat Cardinals Phillies
Games played 149 148
Avg runs scored 4.7 4.5
Avg runs conceded 4.3 3.2
Win percentage 54% 66%
Away win % / Home win % 54% 70%