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UEFA Nations League · League D · Group 2 · Round 6
Mon, Nov 16, 2026 ยท 5:00 PM GMT

Lithuania vs Liechtenstein Prediction & Win Probability

Lithuania has a 72% chance to win, with a 18% chance of a draw.

Rating 1374 · World #147
Form: LDLLL
VS
Rating 1141 · World #211
Form: LWLLL
Model Probability
72%
10%
Draw 18%

Group Impact

Chance of finishing in each Group 2 position, depending on this result

๐Ÿ‡ฑ๐Ÿ‡น Lithuania

Scenario1st2nd3rd
As things stand37%52%11%
Lithuania win 43%53%4%
Draw 26%55%18%
Liechtenstein win 19%37%45%

๐Ÿ‡ฑ๐Ÿ‡ฎ Liechtenstein

Scenario1st2nd3rd
As things stand3%14%84%
Lithuania win 1%8%91%
Draw 4%21%76%
Liechtenstein win 12%42%46%

League D ยท Group 2

#Team P Pts Rating 1st 2nd 3rd
Azerbaijan 0 0 1428 60% 34% 6%
Lithuania 0 0 1374 37% 52% 11%
Liechtenstein 0 0 1141 3% 14% 84%
Promoted to League C (1st) Promotion play-off (2nd)

Form Coming Into This Game

Last 10 internationals in any competition
LithuaniaStatLiechtenstein
0-4-6Won-Drawn-Lost1-0-9
0.7Avg goals scored0.2
1.7Avg goals conceded3.5
1374Rating1141
#147World rank#211

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings (all internationals since 2010)
LithuaniaStatLiechtenstein
2Wins (4 meetings, 1 draw)1
2Last 4 meetings (1 draw)1
1.0Average goals0.5
Last meeting (Tue, Sep 10, 2013, World Cup qualifier): Lithuania 2–0 Liechtenstein

Recent Results

๐Ÿ‡ฑ๐Ÿ‡น Lithuania

@ Estonia
Tue, Jun 9, 2026 · Baltic Cup · Pre-match win chance 26%
0–1
vs Latvia
Sat, Jun 6, 2026 · Baltic Cup · Pre-match win chance 38%
1–1
@ Netherlands
Mon, Nov 17, 2025 · World Cup qualifier · Pre-match win chance 2%
0–4
vs Poland
Sun, Oct 12, 2025 · World Cup qualifier · Pre-match win chance 8%
0–2
@ Finland
Thu, Oct 9, 2025 · World Cup qualifier · Pre-match win chance 11%
1–2

๐Ÿ‡ฑ๐Ÿ‡ฎ Liechtenstein

@ Aruba
Sun, Mar 29, 2026 · Fifa Series · Pre-match win chance 20%
1–4
@ Tanzania
Thu, Mar 26, 2026 · Fifa Series · Pre-match win chance 6%
1–0
@ Belgium
Tue, Nov 18, 2025 · World Cup qualifier · Pre-match win chance 1%
0–7
vs Wales
Sat, Nov 15, 2025 · World Cup qualifier · Pre-match win chance 2%
0–1
@ Kazakhstan
Fri, Oct 10, 2025 · World Cup qualifier · Pre-match win chance 7%
0–4