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UEFA Nations League · League D · Group 2 · Round 3
Thu, Oct 1, 2026 ยท 5:00 PM BST

Azerbaijan vs Liechtenstein Prediction & Win Probability

Azerbaijan has a 78% chance to win, with a 15% chance of a draw.

Rating 1428 · World #121
Form: DWLLL
VS
Rating 1136 · World #211
Form: LLWLL
Model Probability
78%
7%
Draw 15%

Group Impact

Chance of finishing in each Group 2 position, depending on this result

๐Ÿ‡ฆ๐Ÿ‡ฟ Azerbaijan

Scenario1st2nd3rd
As things stand54%42%4%
Azerbaijan win 58%41%1%
Draw 40%51%8%
Liechtenstein win 32%42%26%

๐Ÿ‡ฑ๐Ÿ‡ฎ Liechtenstein

Scenario1st2nd3rd
As things stand<1%5%94%
Azerbaijan win <1%3%97%
Draw <1%10%89%
Liechtenstein win 7%25%67%

League D ยท Group 2

#Team P Pts Rating 1st 2nd 3rd
1 Lithuania 1 3 1379 46% 52% 2%
2 Azerbaijan 0 0 1428 54% 42% 4%
3 Liechtenstein 1 0 1136 <1% 5% 94%
Promoted to League C (1st) Promotion play-off (2nd)

Form Coming Into This Game

Last 10 internationals in any competition
AzerbaijanStatLiechtenstein
1-3-6Won-Drawn-Lost1-0-9
1.0Avg goals scored0.2
2.4Avg goals conceded3.4
1428Rating1136
#121World rank#211

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings (all internationals since 2010)
AzerbaijanStatLiechtenstein
1Wins (1 meeting, 0 draws)0
1Last 1 meeting (0 draws)0
1.0Average goals0.0
Last meeting (Wed, Feb 6, 2013, Friendly): Azerbaijan 1–0 Liechtenstein

Recent Results

๐Ÿ‡ฆ๐Ÿ‡ฟ Azerbaijan

vs Sierra Leone
Mon, Mar 30, 2026 · Fifa Series · Pre-match win chance 41%
1–1
vs Saint Lucia
Fri, Mar 27, 2026 · Fifa Series · Pre-match win chance 63%
6–1
vs France
Sun, Nov 16, 2025 · World Cup qualifier · Pre-match win chance 2%
1–3
vs Iceland
Thu, Nov 13, 2025 · World Cup qualifier · Pre-match win chance 23%
0–2
@ Ukraine
Mon, Oct 13, 2025 · World Cup qualifier · Pre-match win chance 6%
1–2

๐Ÿ‡ฑ๐Ÿ‡ฎ Liechtenstein

vs Lithuania
Thu, Sep 24, 2026 · Nations League · Pre-match win chance 15%
0–2
@ Aruba
Sun, Mar 29, 2026 · Fifa Series · Pre-match win chance 20%
1–4
@ Tanzania
Thu, Mar 26, 2026 · Fifa Series · Pre-match win chance 6%
1–0
@ Belgium
Tue, Nov 18, 2025 · World Cup qualifier · Pre-match win chance 1%
0–7
vs Wales
Sat, Nov 15, 2025 · World Cup qualifier · Pre-match win chance 2%
0–1