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UEFA Nations League · League C · Group 3 · Round 5
Fri, Nov 13, 2026 Β· 5:00 PM GMT

Moldova vs Kazakhstan Prediction & Win Probability

Kazakhstan has a 41% chance to win, with a 30% chance of a draw.

Rating 1363 · World #151
Form: LWDLL
VS
Rating 1447 · World #113
Form: DLLDW
Model Probability
29%
41%
Draw 30%

Group Impact

Chance of finishing in each Group 3 position, depending on this result

πŸ‡²πŸ‡© Moldova

Scenario1st2nd3rd4th
As things stand<1%43%33%23%
Moldova win <1%53%47%<1%
Draw <1%51%43%6%
Kazakhstan win <1%30%17%52%

πŸ‡°πŸ‡Ώ Kazakhstan

Scenario1st2nd3rd4th
As things stand<1%11%35%55%
Moldova win <1%<1%5%95%
Draw <1%<1%14%86%
Kazakhstan win <1%26%70%4%

League C Β· Group 3

#Team P Pts Rating 1st 2nd 3rd 4th
1 Slovakia 4 10 1709 100% <1% <1% <1%
2 Faroe Islands 4 4 1392 <1% 46% 32% 22%
3 Moldova 4 4 1363 <1% 43% 33% 23%
4 Kazakhstan 4 2 1447 <1% 11% 35% 55%
Promoted to League B (1st) Promotion play-off (2nd)

Form Coming Into This Game

Last 10 internationals in any competition
MoldovaStatKazakhstan
1-2-7Won-Drawn-Lost3-4-3
0.6Avg goals scored1.4
3.2Avg goals conceded1.5
1363Rating1447
#151World rank#113

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings (all internationals since 2010)
MoldovaStatKazakhstan
3Wins (7 meetings, 1 draw)3
2Last 5 meetings (1 draw)2
1.0Average goals1.14
Last meeting (Fri, Oct 2, 2026, Nations League): Kazakhstan 1–2 Moldova