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UEFA Nations League · League C · Group 3 · Round 2
Tue, Sep 29, 2026 Β· 5:00 PM BST

Moldova vs Faroe Islands Prediction & Win Probability

Moldova has a 37% chance to win, with a 31% chance of a draw.

Rating 1361 · World #151
Form: LLDLL
VS
Rating 1382 · World #143
Form: WLLWW
Model Probability
37%
32%
Draw 31%

Group Impact

Chance of finishing in each Group 3 position, depending on this result

πŸ‡²πŸ‡© Moldova

Scenario1st2nd3rd4th
As things stand1%19%34%46%
Moldova win 3%32%44%22%
Draw <1%15%33%51%
Faroe Islands win <1%7%22%70%

πŸ‡«πŸ‡΄ Faroe Islands

Scenario1st2nd3rd4th
As things stand2%23%38%38%
Moldova win <1%11%27%61%
Draw 1%22%43%34%
Faroe Islands win 4%37%45%14%

League C Β· Group 3

#Team P Pts Rating 1st 2nd 3rd 4th
– Slovakia 0 0 1706 89% 9% 1% <1%
– Kazakhstan 0 0 1462 8% 49% 28% 16%
– Faroe Islands 0 0 1382 2% 23% 38% 38%
– Moldova 0 0 1361 1% 19% 34% 46%
Promoted to League B (1st) Promotion play-off (2nd) Ranking of 4th-placed teams (4th) Relegation play-off Relegated to League D

Form Coming Into This Game

Last 10 internationals in any competition
MoldovaStatFaroe Islands
1-1-8Won-Drawn-Lost5-0-5
0.6Avg goals scored1.2
3.3Avg goals conceded1.0
1361Rating1382
#151World rank#143

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings (all internationals since 2010)
MoldovaStatFaroe Islands
1Wins (4 meetings, 2 draws)1
1Last 4 meetings (2 draws)1
1.0Average goals1.0
Last meeting (Sun, Sep 10, 2023, Euro): Faroe Islands 0–1 Moldova

Recent Results

πŸ‡²πŸ‡© Moldova

@ Israel
Sun, Nov 16, 2025 · World Cup qualifier · Pre-match win chance 10%
1–4
vs Italy
Thu, Nov 13, 2025 · World Cup qualifier · Pre-match win chance 3%
0–2
@ Estonia
Tue, Oct 14, 2025 · World Cup qualifier · Pre-match win chance 24%
1–1
@ Norway
Tue, Sep 9, 2025 · World Cup qualifier · Pre-match win chance 4%
1–11
vs Israel
Fri, Sep 5, 2025 · World Cup qualifier · Pre-match win chance 15%
0–4

πŸ‡«πŸ‡΄ Faroe Islands

@ Latvia
Tue, Jun 9, 2026 · Baltic Cup · Pre-match win chance 28%
1–0
@ Estonia
Sat, Jun 6, 2026 · Baltic Cup · Pre-match win chance 27%
0–1
@ Croatia
Fri, Nov 14, 2025 · World Cup qualifier · Pre-match win chance 3%
1–3
vs Czech Republic
Sun, Oct 12, 2025 · World Cup qualifier · Pre-match win chance 7%
2–1
vs Montenegro
Thu, Oct 9, 2025 · World Cup qualifier · Pre-match win chance 18%
4–0