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UEFA Nations League · League B · Group 3 · Round 3
Thu, Oct 1, 2026 ยท 7:45 PM BST

Ireland vs Austria Prediction & Win Probability

Austria has a 44% chance to win, with a 30% chance of a draw.

Rating 1673 · World #52
Form: DWWWL
VS
Rating 1783 · World #23
Form: LDLWD
Model Probability
26%
44%
Draw 30%

Group Impact

Chance of finishing in each Group 3 position, depending on this result

๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ช Ireland

Scenario1st2nd3rd4th
As things stand19%35%27%19%
Ireland win 41%33%18%8%
Draw 18%35%28%19%
Austria win 6%35%32%26%

๐Ÿ‡ฆ๐Ÿ‡น Austria

Scenario1st2nd3rd4th
As things stand64%23%10%4%
Ireland win 39%35%18%8%
Draw 62%24%11%3%
Austria win 80%15%4%1%

League B ยท Group 3

#Team P Pts Rating 1st 2nd 3rd 4th
Austria 0 0 1783 64% 23% 10% 4%
Ireland 0 0 1673 19% 35% 27% 19%
Kosovo 0 0 1619 10% 24% 32% 34%
Israel 0 0 1603 7% 19% 30% 43%
Promoted to League A (1st) Promotion play-off (2nd) Relegation play-off (3rd) Relegated to League C (4th)

Form Coming Into This Game

Last 10 internationals in any competition
IrelandStatAustria
5-2-3Won-Drawn-Lost5-2-3
1.5Avg goals scored2.2
1.6Avg goals conceded1.2
1673Rating1783
#52World rank#23

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings (all internationals since 2010)
IrelandStatAustria
1Wins (4 meetings, 2 draws)1
1Last 4 meetings (2 draws)1
1.0Average goals1.0
Last meeting (Sun, Jun 11, 2017, World Cup qualifier): Ireland 1–1 Austria

Recent Results

๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ช Ireland

@ Czech Republic
Thu, Mar 26, 2026 · World Cup qualifier · Pre-match win chance 23%
2–2
@ Hungary
Sun, Nov 16, 2025 · World Cup qualifier · Pre-match win chance 22%
3–2
vs Portugal
Thu, Nov 13, 2025 · World Cup qualifier · Pre-match win chance 10%
2–0
vs Armenia
Tue, Oct 14, 2025 · World Cup qualifier · Pre-match win chance 63%
1–0
@ Portugal
Sat, Oct 11, 2025 · World Cup qualifier · Pre-match win chance 6%
0–1

๐Ÿ‡ฆ๐Ÿ‡น Austria

@ Spain
Thu, Jul 2, 2026 · World Cup · Pre-match win chance 12%
0–3
@ Algeria
Sun, Jun 28, 2026 · World Cup · Pre-match win chance 43%
3–3
@ Argentina
Mon, Jun 22, 2026 · World Cup · Pre-match win chance 14%
0–2
vs Jordan
Wed, Jun 17, 2026 · World Cup · Pre-match win chance 47%
3–1
vs Bosnia & Herzegovina
Tue, Nov 18, 2025 · World Cup qualifier · Pre-match win chance 69%
1–1