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UEFA Nations League · League B · Group 3 · Round 2
Sun, Sep 27, 2026 ยท 7:45 PM BST

Israel vs Ireland Prediction & Win Probability

Ireland has a 38% chance to win, with a 30% chance of a draw.

Rating 1599 · World #70
Form: LWLLL
VS
Rating 1666 · World #54
Form: LDWWW
Model Probability
31%
38%
Draw 30%

Group Impact

Chance of finishing in each Group 3 position, depending on this result

๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ฑ Israel

Scenario1st2nd3rd4th
As things stand3%18%27%52%
Israel win 7%31%36%26%
Draw 2%15%29%54%
Ireland win <1%8%18%74%

๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ช Ireland

Scenario1st2nd3rd4th
As things stand7%23%37%32%
Israel win 3%10%29%58%
Draw 6%22%42%31%
Ireland win 13%36%40%11%

League B ยท Group 3

#Team P Pts Rating 1st 2nd 3rd 4th
1 Austria 1 3 1787 74% 18% 7% 2%
2 Kosovo 1 3 1625 15% 42% 29% 14%
3 Ireland 1 0 1666 7% 23% 37% 32%
4 Israel 1 0 1599 3% 18% 27% 52%
Promoted to League A (1st) Promotion play-off (2nd) Relegation play-off (3rd) Relegated to League C (4th)

Form Coming Into This Game

Last 10 internationals in any competition
IsraelStatIreland
5-0-5Won-Drawn-Lost5-2-3
2.1Avg goals scored1.5
2.3Avg goals conceded1.2
1599Rating1666
#70World rank#54

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings (all internationals since 2010)
Israel and Ireland haven't met since 2010.

Recent Results

๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ฑ Israel

@ Austria
Thu, Sep 24, 2026 · Nations League · Pre-match win chance 13%
1–3
vs Moldova
Sun, Nov 16, 2025 · World Cup qualifier · Pre-match win chance 72%
4–1
@ Italy
Tue, Oct 14, 2025 · World Cup qualifier · Pre-match win chance 8%
0–3
@ Norway
Sat, Oct 11, 2025 · World Cup qualifier · Pre-match win chance 14%
0–5
vs Italy
Mon, Sep 8, 2025 · World Cup qualifier · Pre-match win chance 13%
4–5

๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ช Ireland

@ Kosovo
Thu, Sep 24, 2026 · Nations League · Pre-match win chance 37%
0–1
@ Czech Republic
Thu, Mar 26, 2026 · World Cup qualifier · Pre-match win chance 23%
2–2
@ Hungary
Sun, Nov 16, 2025 · World Cup qualifier · Pre-match win chance 22%
3–2
vs Portugal
Thu, Nov 13, 2025 · World Cup qualifier · Pre-match win chance 10%
2–0
vs Armenia
Tue, Oct 14, 2025 · World Cup qualifier · Pre-match win chance 63%
1–0