← Home / Spain / La Liga / Matches / Atl. Madrid vs Rayo Vallecano
La Liga
Sun, May 16, 2027 · 4:00 PM BST

Atl. Madrid vs Rayo Vallecano Prediction & Win Probability

Atl. Madrid has a 61% chance to win.

5-1-1 · Rating 1949
Form: WWWLW
VS
2-2-3 · Rating 1834
Form: DWLWL
Model Probability
61%
17%
Draw 22%

Model Prediction Through Season

Season Impact

Rayo Vallecano

Scenario Win LeagueChampions LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegation
Now <1%13.3%6.5%8.7%
If Win <1%17.3%8.7%6.1%
If Draw <1%11.6%7.0%8.6%
If Lose <1%10.9%6.3%10.6%

Atl. Madrid

Scenario Win LeagueChampions LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegation
Now 4.2%86.0%5.1%<1%
If Win 5.4%88.8%4.3%<1%
If Draw 3.0%84.5%6.1%<1%
If Lose 2.3%81.8%6.5%<1%

Season Form Coming Into This Game

Atl. MadridStatRayo Vallecano
7Games played7
2.3Avg goals scored1.6
1.0Avg goals conceded2.3
71% / 14% / 14%Win / Draw / Loss29% / 29% / 43%
75% Home win % / Away win % 0%

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Atl. MadridStatRayo Vallecano
17All-time wins (22 meetings, 3 draws)2
3Last 5 meetings (1 draws)1
2.2Average goals0.8
Last meeting (2026-02-15): Rayo Vallecano 3–0 Atl. Madrid